Positive evolution in economic forecasting. Case study: the evolution of a company’s capital

Authors

  • Ion POPESCU Professor Ph.D.
  • Laura UNGUREANU Lecturer Ph.D.
  • Viorel MATEI Associate Professor Ph.D. Faculty of Financial-Accounting Management, Craiova Spiru Haret University
  • Victor VELTER Ph.D. Student Valahia University, Târgovişte

Keywords:

economic modelling, forecasting, dynamic analysis

Abstract

For the economic sciences, mainly for the planning and organization disciplines, the models display a range of varieties.  For the last decades, though, the mathematics-based models seem to be the trend, partly because of their ability to rigorously concentrate the essentials and also to be programmed via the computer-based techniques, thus creating together an unheard of instrument of scientific investigation, a resourceful ‚extension’ of human intelligence.The article herein presents certain medium-term prognosis, via the dynamic modelling, elements of bifurcation theory and the Xpp software.  The case study has been the object of a research contract with the business environment.  

References

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• Klein, L., Welfe, W. (2003), Principiile modelării macroeconometrice, Editura Economică, Bucureşti.

• Popescu, I., Ungureanu, L. (2006), Paradigma complexităţii economice, Editura Expert, Bucureşti.

• Popescu, I., Ungureanu, L. (2003), Previziunea – premisă a dezvoltării durabile, Editura Fundaţiei România de Mâine, Bucureşti.

• [5] Scarlat, E., Chiriţă, N. (2001), Macroeconomie dinamică, Editura Economică, Bucureşti.

• Tu, P.N.V (1990), Dynamical systems, Springer, Berlin.

• Ungureanu, L., Matei, V. (2008), Using the Modern Technique in Economic Forecast, „Analele Universitatii Spiru Haret, Seria Economie”, Vol. II/2008.

• Ungureanu, L., Galiceanu, M. (2009), Modeling Economic Phenomenon with Elementary Catastrophes, „Advances in management”, India, April 2009, Vol. 2(4).

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Published

2010-09-30

How to Cite

POPESCU, I., UNGUREANU, L., MATEI, V., & VELTER, V. (2010). Positive evolution in economic forecasting. Case study: the evolution of a company’s capital. Annals of Spiru Haret University. Economic Series, 10(3), 163–176. Retrieved from https://www.anale.spiruharet.ro/economics/article/view/10316

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 3 (2010)

Section

ACADEMIA PAPERS

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